Manchester City is on the precipice of another Premiership title. But the only buzz-word Sky Blues are wearing in Las Vegas (and London) at the moment is “risk.”
The impressive toil of West Ham United’s Jarrod Bowen temporarily out-shined Man City striker Jack Grealish in City’s penultimate league match of 2021-22, as the superstar scored 2 goals to stake Hammers to a lead in the opening half at London Stadium. Following the subsequent 2-2 draw at London Stadium, Manchester City is once again in the tenuous position of needing 3 points to hold off Liverpool’s charge – and it’s matchweek 38.
Sky Blues’ odds to win the Premier League shot into double-digit minus territory last week, and now they’re back on Earth again. But that’s rather fitting for a cycle in which Manchester City has been favored to win at every turn, and yet having fallen short (and disappointed short-odds bettors) at every crucial turn. Citizens are now handicapped as a (-750) odds wager to lift the EPL’s hardware again, while Liverpool is a 7-to-1 or (+700) pick.
Liverpool must fend off a Sunday spoiler in visiting Wolves, and hope Sky Blues drop at least another 2 points to Aston Villa. If, however, City should fall short while Liverpool wins-out, Reds would earn a clean-cut points win.
The 2021-22 season’s finale is what exactly what EPL speculators pine for, with championship, top 4, and relegation odds are each drawing tight prior to the final weekend of action. Tottenham and Arsenal are locked into a close race for the last automatic UEFA Champions League qualifying position. Clarets of Burnley F.C. are making a breathless last-ditch charge at avoiding relegation from the EPL to English Championship as one of the top level’s bottom-3 finishing teams. Burnley defeated Southampton, Wolves, and Watford each in a row to claim a surprise 9 points in mid-spring. Burnley Football Club is now a (-210) wager to stay in the Premier League another year, while Leeds is fast becoming a betting “favorite” to suffer maximum lost points and suffer relegation to Championship.
Pending our publish time today or tonight, those odds might change in a hurry once Burnley’s result against Villa on Thursday is on the books. Regardless, though, it appears as if WagerBop’s late-winter prediction of a Leeds United tier-tumble could come true after all, with pricey “underdog” bets paying off in the upside-down proposition. The even bigger gambling narrative is how many long-odds picks on Burnley to avoid relegation-to-Championship could be about to pay off early next week, thanks to timely victories from a team that odds-makers once considered pulling from the prop market.
WagerBop’s Best EPL Bets on Championship Sunday
Liverpool vs. Wolverhampton F.C.
Wolves is “wearing” the sign of a diminished value when weighed against the team’s past reputation as a spoiler. Wanderers are a 16-to-1 long shot to defeat Liverpool’s bid for 3 final, crucial points, with FanDuel offering (-600) money-line odds on Reds to win and (+600) or 6-to-1 payoff odds on a drawn outcome. Compared to Southampton’s line to surprise Man City on Tuesday, those odds are as lopsided as they come in UK soccer.
Punters may have another angle in mind. If Man City rings up a huge lead on Villa by half on Sunday, Anfield’s match could take on an unexpected and unpredictable tone as Liverpool would be left without trophy-hunt motivation in a match for the maiden time all season, a new and challenging scenario that could upend the usual spark for a finale in front of host supporters. At that point, 16-to-1 on Wolves might look like a good deal.
Pick: Wolves at (+1500) or Longer Odds or Draw at (+500) or Longer Odds (Live Half-Time Bet Pending Man City Half-Time Result)
Brentford F.C. vs. Leeds United
Leeds couldn’t score enough gratuitous goals to overcome the laws of nature (and soccer) this cycle. Scoring has dried up which saved Peacocks from a weak back-line for an extended period, helping to cast Brentford (+135) as a money-line favorite at home.
Pick: Over (2.5) (-140)
Norwich City vs. Tottenham Hotspur (Sunday, May 22)
Norwich City will undoubtedly have a point to prove in front of supporters before shoving off to English Championship, helping the otherwise outmatched Canaries to a somewhat-hopeful (+950) money-line market to upset Spurs on Sunday afternoon.
Punters aren’t buying what FanDuel odds-makers are selling, though, with Norwich City’s line-to-win threatening to move into 10-to-1 or longer territory well before kickoff.
Tottenham’s relatively fresh lineup and always-spirited attack in big matches has the sportsbook’s Over/Under odds varying wildly from the norm, with near 1-to-2 lines on Over (2.5) total goals and just (+142) payoff on a result of more than (3.5) total goals. But it’s just as often that a late cry of “HARRY!” or “SONNNN!” breaks a 0-0 draw against a patsy.
Pick: Under (2.5) (+166)
Manchester City vs. Aston Villa (Sunday, May 22)
Man City’s prohibitive money-line odds to defeat Aston Villa are paired with a generous total-goals handicap of (+118) or near 1-to-1 odds on Over (3.5) combined tallies. Of course, the dire (+1500) money-line odds on visiting Villa gives away where odds-makers believe most of the match’s goals will come from. FanDuel users who are still holding long-term wagers on Sky Blues to win the EPL may consider putting some money on “Aston Villa or Draw” in a 4-to-1 “Double Chance” market to create a no-lose scenario this weekend.
Pick: Under (3.5) (-130)
Kurt has authored close to 1000 stories covering football, soccer, basketball, baseball, ice hockey, prize-fighting and the Olympic Games. Kurt posted a 61% win rate on 200+ college and NFL gridiron picks last season. He muses about High School football on social media as The Gridiron Geek.