Even though Inter can’t win the Serie A title, the Nerazzurri won’t back out from this one, because their reputation is at stake here. Napoli, on the other side, already won one trophy this year (Coppa Italia), and they are pretty relaxed ever since, posting solid performances and awaiting their clash with Barcelona in the Champions League.
Inter (+110) is a favorite here, despite the loss in the last match at San Siro against this opponent. That was the semifinals of Coppa Italia, once Napoli won 0-1. Antonio Conte’s boys didn’t lose in six straight postings three wins and losses each, once again dropping points when needed the least.
We can see that they play with massive oscillations, especially in defense. Recently, they would allow a goal in just one game over the previous four, which wasn’t the case prior to it. However, when looking at the overall efficiency of Inter’s matches, just one in the last ten didn’t see over 2.5 goals.
At home, the three-time European champions have two wins, two draws and a loss against Bologna in the previous five events, with three games going above 3.5 scores.
Napoli (+235) defeated Sassuolo this Saturday with 2-0, but with four disallowed goals of the guests, all of them after VAR. We need to say that even though Gattuso’s team won, they didn’t impress with the overall performance.
The Sky-Blues from Naples have two defeats, two draws and six victories in the last 10 Serie A matches, but that isn’t too important for them, as they pretty much ended their domestic affairs after capturing Coppa Italia against Juve in the finals.
In the recent five games at home, Napoli scored at least twice, coming back to its previous philosophy of football, which included attacks at all costs and high efficiency.
Sensi, Vecino and de Vrij are out for the hosts, and that is pretty much it when talking about their injury issues.
On the other side, Ospina and Llorente are the only two guys who aren’t going to appear at San Siro.
Head to Head Matches
As we said, Napoli won the previous game in Milan, securing themselves a lead in the first leg of Coppa Italia semifinals. The rematch finished 1-1, and that was the first game for both sides after the pause caused by COVID-19 pandemics.
The Serie A clash, however, saw Inter rolling over Napoli at home, 1-3, and that was maybe the best performance of Conte’s team throughout the entire season.
As we see, both sides like to play attacking and offensive-minded football, and when we add that they have nothing to lose, over 2.5 goals are imposing as the best possible solution. The moneyline here is -125, and that seems perfectly fine.
There is nothing to hide between these two sides because Conte and Gattuso can’t surprise one another with some tactical maneuver. Therefore, high efficiency is our strongest recommendation for this clash. You could also try over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, it is around +105.
Nikola Velickovic is a sports journalist who loves to write and read on all sports. Nikola contributes both news updates and functions as a sports breaking news writer at WagerBop.