The odds-makers of the Olympic Games will attest that it is easier to predict a medal count for Belgium than to forecast medals for China or the United States. There are too many variables involved in forecasting 100s of performances for bookmakers to do anything but offer history-based predictions. Small … Read More... about NFL Championship Sunday: AFC and NFC Title Game Previews, FanDuel Prop Bets, and Recommended Picks
Sometimes you can practically hear a sports-media narrative buzzing in your ears before it arrives, like a noisy vehicle on a country road. There is already a tradition of English Premier League sides playing over their heads on the opening 5 to 10 Matchdays of any season. That’s what made Leicester City’s recent Cinderella run to the EPL title so surprising – not that Foxes … [Read more...] about 2019-20 Premier League Preview: Complete Vegas Odds and Predictions on Matchday 1
I’m all about singing the praises of Liverpool and Mohamed Salah, especially after the superstar footballer and supporting cast somehow kept up with Man City in an exhausting sprint to the Premiership finish line. Reds couldn’t catch Citizens but sure had a lot of fun trying. And yes, absolutely, the 2nd-half comeback to beat Barcelona on May 7th deserves to live in … [Read more...] about UEFA Champions League Final: Liverpool a Popular Wager, Maybe Too Popular
So I was finishing a write-up of Sunday’s all-important Premier League fixtures between Liverpool and Wolves and between Brighton and Manchester City. Wolverhampton’s line on an upset win was 9-to-1 at Bovada Sportsbook. That looked like a pretty good wager to me. Then, just as I was headed to publish, a miracle happened at Anfield. Liverpool – battered, bruised, missing … [Read more...] about Reds vs Wanderers: Premiership Bettors Take a Cold Shower on Liverpool
There were many opinions on how Wednesday’s maiden Champions League semifinal leg between Liverpool and host Barcelona would go. Few of them involved abject embarrassment for either team. At the very least, experts felt that Mohamed Salah and his Premiership club – currently vying for a domestic league title – would give Blaugrana a hard time of it. Instead, the Reds made … [Read more...] about UEFA Champions League: Is There Any Betting Value Left in Liverpool?
I once had a polite-but-candid chat with a Geico executive on a flight to California. Feeling from him a certain urging to speak my mind, I said that while some Geico commercials would go down as classic works of pop art, others were stupid and idiotic and I understood nothing of the writers’ attempts to be funny. “That’s perfect,” the man said. “Why?” “Because we … [Read more...] about Vegas Favors Citizens and Reds, Predicts MUFC Stumble in Champions League Q-Finals
Though there’s still a lot I have to learn about English football, I know this much – punters and pundits tend to overreact to things in the short term, and the syndrome affects the betting action. If you want to see what collective madness and despair look like, fix your eye on supporters when a club vying for the Premiership crown suddenly goes cold on the attack. Don’t … [Read more...] about Is Now the Best Time to Gamble on Liverpool Winning the EPL?
On behalf of a site that deserves better fact-checking from its authors, I owe WagerBop readers a sincere apology. Not just for my looks in the byline photo. Our headline on the upcoming Bayern-Liverpool leg has been deceiving gamblers on more than one continent. What our staff overlooked (easy to miss stuff with me in charge of anything) is a subtle, modern rule … [Read more...] about MyBookie’s Odds on 2nd Bayern-Liverpool Leg Defy All Football Logic
At a certain point on Wednesday, it seemed as though Liverpool’s ship might have finally come in. The Reds were playing Leicester City, and a goal in the 3rd minute gave supporters at Anfield reason to believe. Manchester City had surprisingly fallen to Newcastle, leaving the door wide open for 1st-place Liverpool to stake an imposing lead in the trophy race. Guard and … [Read more...] about Reds Favored to Beat Hammers by More than a Goal on Matchday 25