Serie A: Atalanta vs AC Milan Preview, Odds, Prediction

Atalanta awaits AC Milan in the last round of the Italian Serie A campaign, holding the keys to Juventus’ destiny. If La Dea stays unbeaten, the Old Lady will head for the UEFA Champions League, of course, if they win their game. If AC Milan wins, it means that Rossoneri are going to come back to the elite competition of European football following a big pause. This is the most interesting match of the entire round, and the one that might have massive implications on the respective futures of all three mentioned clubs. 

Preview

Atalanta (+135) still licks its wounds following a loss in the Coppa Italia finals against Juventus during this midweek. That was a fantastic chance for the team from Bergamo to finally bring a trophy to town, only the second in history. However, after a lost final in 2019, this one was a big blow as well.

Many suggest that La Deal might deliberately let Milan win and push down Juventus to the Europa League, but those are all speculations. On the other side, knowing the Italian temperament and mentality, and the rivalry between these two sides… well, we won’t say anything.

Atalanta didn’t lose in 11 consecutive games prior to that defeat, winning nine and posting two draws. They had four games at home, all four wins, with a total goal difference of 11-2 during that span.

AC Milan (+150) are without Zlatan Ibrahimovic but aren’t backing down from a propper fight. They slipped in the last game at San Siro, playing just 0-0 against Cagliari, making their life much tougher than it should be. 

After three wins in a row, this was a pretty nasty kick in the teeth, especially because Rossonerri trashed Juventus on the road, 0-3 during this victorious stretch. 

What is a positive thing for Stefano Pioli is that his team didn’t concede in the past four games, which significantly boosts morale before Sunday’s game. The goal difference throughout this interval is 12-0. 

Latest News

Kovalenko is the only player ineligible among the hosts.

Gabbia and Zlatan Ibrahimovic won’t appear for AC Milan. 

Head to Head Matches

Atalanta would dismantle AC Milan in the first matchup of the season, 0-3. Romero, Ilicic, and Zapata each scored one goal, which was enough for La Dea to post an easy and convincing victory. 

The team from Bergamo didn’t lose in three straight, posting one draw and two wins. The last time these two sides met at Gewiss stadium, Atalanta humiliated Rossoneri 5-0.

Prediction

Our money here is on AC Milan. It might be bold and cheeky to say it like this, but we really do believe that Atalanta’s players aren’t going to be that keen on giving 100% in this match. On the other side, AC Milan is in excellent form, regardless of their latest setback at home against Cagliari. They haven’t allowed a goal in a while, and among other things, smashed Juventus on the road. Once you put these two together, our logic and hunch tell us to bet on the guests. Plus, the reward for taking on this risk is enormous.

Pick: AC Milan Wins +150