In the words of Ronald Reagan, “Maybe I said the wrong thing.” Yes, I’ve preached for years that when a pair of football teams appear to be perfectly matched, to the point of splitting a 10-game series on a neutral field, the underdog – the team with the longer betting odds – is always the right pick. Call me crazy, though, but I thought I saw a few key differences … [Read more...] about Sportsbooks Differ on Clemson, Bama, UGA’s Odds to Win 2019-20 CFP Title
NCAAF
Dabo Swinney: “We’ve Got Twins!”
The Clemson Tigers defeated Alabama Crimson Tide in the NCAA championship game 44-16, and won the second title in the last three years. They have also tied the score against 'Bama with whom they have four consecutive playoff clashes over the previous four years. Tigers became the first team in college since 1936 to go 15-0 making them one of the best generations in the … [Read more...] about Dabo Swinney: “We’ve Got Twins!”
Alabama vs Clemson: Picking a Moneyline Winner in the CFP Title Tussle
Clemson and Alabama are no strangers, having warred for the FBS championship in every College Football Playoff since 2014. But if the most important part of successful betting is information, then there’s no need to look back that far. We’ve got the data we need from the past 14 weeks of pigskin. We know that Alabama has the finest offense in college football. Led by Tua … [Read more...] about Alabama vs Clemson: Picking a Moneyline Winner in the CFP Title Tussle
Still-Undervalued UCF Has Huge Opportunity vs LSU
It had never felt so right to be wrong before. In late November, I was arguing that Central Florida wouldn’t really benefit from a College Football Playoff bid this season. McKenzie Milton, the Knights’ super-talented starting QB and emotional leader, suffered a scary leg injury against South Florida in a November rivalry game, and freshman backup Darriel Mack Jr. went only … [Read more...] about Still-Undervalued UCF Has Huge Opportunity vs LSU
Can Oklahoma State Contain Mizzou’s Drew Lock at the Liberty Bowl?
Postseason FBS games are carefully scheduled to prevent regular-season rematches, with the goal of matching teams of contrasting styles. When a representative from a high-scoring league like the Big 12 is paired with the SEC – known for stubborn defense and physical intimidation – the clash of identities can create magic in a bowl contest. There are exceptions to every rule, … [Read more...] about Can Oklahoma State Contain Mizzou’s Drew Lock at the Liberty Bowl?