Serie A: Derby d’Italia: Juventus vs. Inter Preview, Odds, Prediction

Derby d’Italia, or the matchup between Juventus and Inter, takes place on Sunday night at the Allianz Stadium in Turin. It’s needless to say how important it is to both sides. Inter is still in the title race, having 60 points, six fewer than the top-placed AC Milan, but with a game in hand. On the other side, Juventus is one step behind Nerazzuri, and winning here would be a big boost for them and a ticket back to the title race.

Preview

Juventus (+180) comes into this event as a slight underdog. It is something we rarely see when the Old Lady plays at home. But that really doesn’t have to mean anything, and it might only make them more motivated to take down Nerazzurri.

Juve lost only once in the past 10 games, posting three draws and seven wins along the way. That sole loss was in the UEFA Champions League once Villarreal eliminated them after a 0-3 win in Turin. Now that was a shocker.

When looking only at the home games, Juventus posted seven wins, two draws, and a loss in the previous 10. Five of the past six were with a moderate efficiency, meaning two or three goals.

Inter Milan (+250) entered a poor form at the worst possible moment. Over the latest 10 events, we’ve seen them recording just three victories, having five draws and two defeats. On four straight occasions throughout the stretch, Simone Inzaghi’s unit couldn’t score.

What happened with Lautaro, Dzeko, and the rest of the boys upfront, we can’t tell, but something is rotten, that is for sure. Nerazzurri are without a defeat in seven straight events on the road, but with five draws during that period.

In those clashes, we saw both teams not to score five times, and under 2.5 goals on six occurrences. Just to remind you that Inter happened to be one of the most efficient teams in Italy last year and at the start of this campaign.

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A big blow for the hosts is the fact that Denis Zakaria and Weston McKennie won’t be able to play. Kaio Jorge is out the same as Federico Chiesa, who ended the season in January.

On the other side, Inter comes without any absences and injuries.

Head to Head Games

This will be the 244th direct meeting between these two sides. Juventus is far better with 110 wins, while Inter has 73; 60 games ended without a winner.

Regarding this year, these two teams played two times. The first contest was the league clash, in Milan, which ended 1-1. The second was in the Super Cup, when Inter won, 2-1, taking the trophy following the extra times.

Prediction

We don’t believe that there is any room for calculations or tactics here, and that both sides have to go get a win. The situation forces them to attack, otherwise, their title ambitions could vanish. Our pick for this case would be a moderate efficiency, or 2 or 3 goals, because of the recent form and the results of the respective units.

Pick: Moderate efficiency 2 or 3 goals