Bundesliga: Der Klassiker – Borussia Dortmund vs. Bayern Munich Preview, Odds, Prediction

Der Klassiker, or the derby between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, is the biggest one in Germany. This Saturday afternoon, we will have a chance to witness another chapter in their great history. At the moment, both teams are atop the Bundesliga standings, with the note that Bayern has one point more than the Millionaires. The Bavarians are irked with the recent development at the Ballon d’Or ceremony. Lewandowski deserved that award, not Messi, and that will be a massive motive for the champs to keep pounding at the same level.

Preview

Borussia Dortmund (+300) is massacred with injuries, as we like to say. The Millionaires have at least five starters out for this event, and that has been their destiny since the start of the year. The most important thing for them is Erling Haaland’s comeback, and the Norwegian goal machine will start against the Bavarians.

The former European champs have posted shaky results recently, winning twice and losing three times in the past five games. But what was a constant for them during that stretch was high efficiency, as all five games ended with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.

The quality of the Millionaires’ performances at home are much higher than on the road. In the past nine clashes at Signal Idune, Borussia won eight times, scoring two or more goals in all but two events.

Bayern Munich (-125) posted eight triumphs and two defeats in the latest 10 matches, but even so, we still believe that they are among the top three teams on the continent currently.

Up until the most recent game, vs. Arminia Bielefeld at home, 1-0, nine in a row were with over 2.5 goals, and of those nine, six were with four or more scores. Bayern did slow down a little bit since the international break, but here comes the perfect chance for them to get back on track.

The situation with Lewandowski infuriated the entire organization, and we see that all of the players are getting ready to “welcome” Barcelona on Tuesday. Be sure that they didn’t forget Borussie before that.

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Hazard, Bellingham, Burki, Guerreiro, Moukoko, Reyna, Schmelzer and Morey Bauza are all out for the home team. All of them have injury problems, most long-term.

On the other side, Sabitzer, Sarr, Stanisic, Nianzou, Choupo-Moting, and Kimmich are unavailable for Bayern.

Head to Head Games

The Bavarians have a much better head-to-head record. After 131 matches played, they’ve posted 64 wins, Borussia recorded 33, and 34 games ended without winners.

In recent times, Bayern has been an enigma for this rival, winning the past six events in a row. In five of them, the Bavarians scored three or more goals, and also, the past four were with hits on both ends.

Prediction

Goals are in our focus, and we expect to see at least three of them. The odds on that are not that high -300, but if you aren’t satisfied, go with our second pick, which would be over 1.5 HT, with the profits being much better here. At the moment, the odds for that are set at -110.

Pick: Over 2.5 goals
          Over 1.5 HT

 

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