Eredivisie “De Tooper”: Ajax vs. PSV Preview, Odds, Prediction

One of the biggest and most important games in Europe is the Eredivisie‘s “De Topper” or the clash between Ajax and PSV. Two former champions of Europe and Dutch football powerhouses will have their 129th contest this Sunday afternoon. We expect a highly interesting and efficient patch, as these two sides prefer to play open and attractive football, providing lots of goals. Ajax is the favorite, but PSV plays better in recent times. Also, the guests have a slightly better all-time record. Please take five minutes of your time (maybe even less) and run through our preview of the most exciting matchup in Sunday’s program.

Preview

Ajax (-165) played its last match of the 2020 season in Tilburg, and the Lancers couldn’t win, 1-1. After posting three straight events in which they scored at least four goals, winning all of them with a combined goal-difference of 13-6, Ajax lost two points against Willem II, and allowed PSV to cut the gap in the standings to just one point.

When playing in Amsterdam Arena, Ajax is ruthless, with six wins and a loss in seven games. The goal difference is 25-6, and there is only one contest during that interval in which Erik ten Hag’s boys weren’t able to net twice.

All domestic contests at Amsterdam Arena saw over 2.5 goals, which is no wonder when Ajax plays, because we all know that they always want to score as many goals as possible,

PSV (+400) closed the year with 11 straight games without a loss, regardless of the competition played. They would open the campaign pretty shaky, losing various matches on both international and domestic plans. To be honest, at one point, PSV was looking pretty mediocre.

However, all that was changed in November once their invincible streak began. De Lampen isn’t playing as efficient football as Ajax, but they are tactically very well gifted and know when to slow down and provoke some opposite side mistakes.

When analyzing their road games, just one in the past eight didn’t see both teams to score, while three in the last 10 didn’t go above Over 2.5 goals.

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David Neres won’t play, the same as Lassina Traore. Jurrien Timber and Brian Brobbey are also out due to injures.

On the other side, PSV is in a slightly worse situation. Richard Ledesma is off due to a knee injury, and the Israeli striker Erhan Zahavi also won’t play. Maximiliano Romero and Ryan Thomas are both out. Armando Obispo and Erick Gutierrez will be a game-time decision the same as Marco Van Ginkel.

Head to Head Games

Ajax and PSV have played 128 times so far, and PSV has three wins more than the rivals, 53-50. Only 25 events saw a draw. Even though Ajax has more trophies and is considered a bigger club, PSV fans are always pulling out these numbers once debating about both teams’ greatness.

Ajax didn’t lose in Amsterdam to this rival in five years, and currently has four straight victories.

Prediction

Both teams to score and over 2.5 goals is our first and only suggestion for this event. The odds (-170) are not as high as some might hope, but the risk/reward ratio, in this case, is more than good.