The race for the fourth position in Serie A and a ticket to the following year’s UEFA Europa League is very interesting because it involves two Italian powerhouses, Juventus and AC Milan. Right now, Milan is in a better position, with five points more than the Old Lady, who was eventually penalized after a roller coaster saga that ruined Serie A reputation. Juve still has slight chance of reaching the UCL, but three points on Sunday night are an absolute must.
Juventus (+130) suffered a crushing defeat last week, falling 4-1 to Empoli, which was expected after two hard blows this unit experienced. The first was an elimination from the Europa League, while the second appeared to be a 10-point fine in Serie A. It’s something that would hurt even the most stable teams.
After losing to Sevilla, and especially Empoli, Juve’s head coach Allegri found himself in a nasty situation. According to some speculations from Italy, he could leave the team at the end of the season, and the locker room feels that negativity.
That pressure is increased due to the possibility of Dusan Vlahovic’s absence. Allegri is using Vlahovic less than many would like, and to be honest, Juve’s results did suffer on several occasions because of such decisions.
Milan (+210) won for the first time after three straight losses in which they failed to score. The victim was poor Sampdoria, whom they defeated, 5-1. Rossoneri have lost the pace, the morale, and the chemistry after all the losses and elimination from the UEFA Champions League.
Milan is terrible on the road. They’ve won twice in the 13 outings, which is the main reason for all the troubles this team has experienced lately. For the moment, Rossoneri couldn’t win a single event on the previous five road trips.
All those games were boring as well, finishing with under 2.5 hits. This is another proof of Milan’s inconsistency, as they played extremely efficient contests midway through the campaign.
Fagioli, Bonucci, De Sciglio and Pogba are all out. The latter played two games before picking up another injury, and Juve’s fans are fed up with the Frenchman and demanding his exit from the Allianz Stadium.
Ismael Bannacer is out for the season for AC Milan, and the creative midfielder probably won’t start the next season as well. His knee injury is serious, and he needs to make a long recovery.
Head to Head Games
Milan was better in the first Serie A meeting, winning 2-0 at San Siro. That game took place in October. It was the third consecutive with under 2.5 goals and the fourth with Juve failing to beat their great rivals.
It’s make-or-break for Juve, who, even if it triumphs, has to wait for the final round and see if it reaches the UEFA Champions League. They aren’t the masters of their destiny anymore. But on the upside, even with all the losses, they still look healthier than Milan, whose game collapsed in recent weeks. That’s why we are after Juventus’ victory at +100, meaning we are about to double our stakes.
Pick: Juventus +100
Nikola Velickovic is a sports journalist who loves to write and read on all sports. Nikola contributes both news updates and functions as a sports breaking news writer at WagerBop.