MLS: New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami Preview, Odds, Prediction

New York Red Bulls and Inter Miami don’t have very high chances for reaching the MLS playoffs this year, but they won’t stop fighting now. Hosts are six, and the guests are eight points away from the last place that leads to the postseason, with a game in hand, and their tonight’s meeting is extremely important. Whoever wins this one would continue to pursue the seventh spot in the East, while the loser’s prospects for capturing the same place would be ruined.

Preview

New York Red Bull (-180) didn’t lose in five straight matches, winning three and posting two draws during that span. The Bulls increased the form in the best possible time, but we’ll see if that pays off to them.

Their style of play isn’t very attractive. All the matches that include NYRB don’t see too many goals. For instance, the previous four were all under 2.5 scores, which was also the outcome in seven of the last 10.

That is particularly characteristic for home events, with eight of the last ten at the Red Bull Arena seeing at most two goals. What might be problematic for Gerhard Struber’s boys is that they didn’t post a win here in the previous four clashes.

Inter Miami (+500) is in a terrible situation. Everything was going smoothly for Phil Neville’s side until their latest game against the Red Bulls, and from that moment on, the Herons lost four in a row.

Not only did they lose, but all those failures were pretty painful – vs. NYRB 0-4, Nashville SC 1-5, Atlanta United, and Portland Timbers with the same result, 1-0. As you can see, the Herons netted only once in these four encounters, and that is a problem.

They, too, play tough and competitive football, particularly when on the road. Did you know that all of their previous 10 road trips saw under 2.5 goals? And that just one match of all those ended with both teams netting? It is pretty unbelievable, wouldn’t you say?

Latest News

Lucas Monzon and Aaron Long are all out due to respective injuries.

For Inter, Ian Frey, Joevin Jones, and Ventura Alvarado are all out.

Head to Head Games

These two teams met three weeks ago in Florida, and Red Bull posted a big win, 0-4. Interestingly, in all three direct meetings so dar, the guests were victorious, NYRB twice and Inter once.

About that previous event, everything was decided in the opening half. The Bulls were up 0-2, having a player more on the field because of Figal’s red card.

Prediction

Our money here is on low efficiency. All the statistical data we’ve mentioned in the previous part of the text is pointing in that direction, plus the significance of the game is very high. That will additionally decrease the efficiency because nobody would like to take any risk. The odds on our pick are solid, -125, which only cements our recommendation. Regarding the full-time result, the Bulls are closer to three points, but we wouldn’t go there.

Pick: Under 2.5 goals -125