Serie A: Derby Della Madonnina: AC Milan vs. Inter Milan Preview, Odds, Prediction

Derby Della Madonnina, the most prominent Italian derby, between AC Milan and Inter Milan, takes place on Sunday night and closes the Serie A round. Whenever these two sides meet, it is a delight for fans all around the world. AC Milan is tied with Napoli atop the standings but overall isn’t that convincing because of the poor results in the UEFA Champions League. Inter is third, seven points behind the leading duo, waiting for its chance to cut the gap and bounce back into the title race.

Preview

AC Milan (+225) couldn’t defeat Porto in the UEFA Champions League, which left a bitter taste in their mouth. The way things stand at the moment, Rosonerri, who won the European throne seven times, probably won’t get past the group stage on this occasion.

But, the situation in the domestic championship is very good, and Stefano Pioli’s side is hanging on despite all the predictions. They have all five wins at home in Serie A, four of them with AC Milan scoring twice or more. Also, we need to add that during that stretch, Rosonerri’s goalkeepers recorded three clean sheets.

The defensive line is doing its job correctly, but we can’t say that they have some high confidence or anything like that. Several times this year, we’ve seen them committing some pretty big mistakes.

Inter Milan (+115) didn’t lose in the previous five games, posting four wins and a draw, which was against Juventus. When looking further back, Nerazzurri suffered a defeat just once in the latest eleven contests, posting seven wins and three draws along.

Inter’s matches at home have been very entertaining. A vast majority of them, five of seven, saw the hosts allowing a goal, and in the same number of games, Inter scored twice or more.

Simone Inzaghi prefers open and aggressive football, and he tries to play like that with Inter. Edin Dzeko and Lautaro Martinez formed a respectable partnership upfront, and we need to say they look much better than many anticipated.

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Milan has several absent players, among them Theo Hernandez, who is suspended due to a red card. Castillejo, goalkeeper Maignan, Messias and Plizzari are all injured.

On the other side, Inter doesn’t have any problems, and they are coming into this event with all the players at Inzaghi’s disposal.

Head to Head Games

Overall, these two sides met 228 times, and Inter has a positive record, 84 wins, 67 draws, and 77 losses.

In 2021, Milan and Inter met three times, with Nerazzurri winning twice, and AC Milan once. In four of the past five games, Inter had more success, and we can say that they dominate head-to-head matchups at the moment.

Prediction

Given the current circumstances, and the fact that both clubs often score and concede, our pick for this game would be over 2.5 goals. Inter’s offense is very strong, but as said before, they allow goals easily. The same goes for Milan, who can’t endure the pressure, particularly against better teams, and we saw that in the UEFA Champions League. So, high efficiency is the best choice here.

Pick: Over 2.5 goals -160