Check out our 2020 MLB simulation!
Oh boy! Baseball is back! So much to watch. So many betting options … but also so much information about 30 different MLB teams to remember.
It’s easy to keep track of one team – or even two or three – but the entire league? Downright impossible.
That’s where we come in. Using the Trends tool on Killersports we isolated 60 MLB trends – two from each team – and are giving them to you for free!
Soak up the juicy data and use it to start the 2020 MLB betting season off with a bang! Believe me, it’s way more fun to have a profitable first weekend of betting than a losing one. Don’t do this on your own. Wagerbop is here to help you out.
Tampa Bay Rays
Rays are 17-2 at home since August 21. 39.9% ROI and a $1455 profit
Rays are 7-13 on the road since August 24. Betting against them yields a 28.7% ROI and $853 in profit
The Rays were unbeatable at home down the stretch in 2019. That luck did not extend outside the friendly confines of Tropicana Field as the team fell apart on the road.
You have to wonder if teams with good home-field advantages will reap the same benefits in 2020 with empty stadiums. The Rays would figure to be the team least affected by the empty stadiums, as nobody went to Rays games before the coronavirus.
It will be louder inside Tropicana Field now with piped in crowd noise than it was before with natural fan noise.
New York Yankees
Yankees are 50-15 as home favorites since April 16. 17.9% ROI and profit of $2306
Yankees are 48-81 as road dogs since September 23, 2015. Betting against the Yankees in this spot yields a 7.5% ROI and $1357 in profit
Forget about trying to beat the Yankees in the Bronx. Good teams can do it, but weak teams almost never rise to the occasion in Yankee stadium – it just doesn’t happen.
The Yankees are mortal on the road, however, especially against good competition.
Boston Red Sox
Red Sox are 90-42 as road favorites since July 26, 2017. 12.8% ROI and $2830 profit
Boston is 35-38 since September 26, 2018 as a home favorite. Betting against the Red Sox in this spot yields a 25.4% ROI and $1879 profit
Boston has absolutely killed it over the last 3 seasons when playing on the road as the favored club. This situation did not arise very often in 2019 as oddsmakers quickly learned that Boston did not deserve to be favored except against the weakest of teams.
Perhaps Fenway Park is too fun to visit. Opposing teams have come in and held their own against the Red Sox, especially when Boston is favored.
Toronto Blue Jays
Blue Jays are 5-13 on the road since August 20. Betting against yields 18.6% ROI and $708 profit
Blue Jays are 11-7 as home dogs since August 9. 56.4% ROI and $1015 profit
The Blue Jays were awful when playing in the States last September.
At home in Toronto, it was a different story. The Blue Jays took advantage of their home field to rise up and knock off some good teams as they posted a monstrous win rate as home dogs in August and September.
Orioles are 3-10 at home since September 5. Betting against yields 33.2% ROI and $627 profit
Under is 8-4 in Orioles road games since September 3. 27.0% ROI and $360 profit
No surprise here – the Orioles stink, even at home.
Baltimore also forgets to bring their bats when traveling, as the under was cashing in all the time down the stretch when the O’s came to town.
Tigers are 2-11 since August 24 as road dogs. Betting against yields 19.8% ROI and $655 profit
Tigers are 67-148 since July 30, 2011 as home dogs. Betting against gives 15.8% ROI and $5224 profit
Do not touch the Tigers when they are underdogs – which is most of the time.
The Tigers have been horrible as home dogs dating back to the second half of 2011. Keep in mind the Tigers had some extremely good seasons and even went to the World Series during this time period – so they aren’t just losing because they are bad.
Comerica Park does not provide the team much of a home-field advantage – and they struggle to beat good teams on the road, as well. The Tigers have earned their trophies by beating the teams that they should beat.
Kansas City Royals
Royals are 18-7 as home favorite since August 28, 2018. 29.3% ROI and $955 profit
Royals are 39-88 as home dogs since August 4, 2017. Betting against KC in this spot yields 14.1% ROI and $2920 profit
Although Kansas City is not favored very often, they make the most of it when the oddsmakers give them the nod. Kansas City has played extremely well at home when favored over the last season and a half.
It is far more likely to catch Kansas City as home underdogs. They really struggle in this spot – losing bettors nearly $3000 since August of 2017.
Chicago White Sox
White Sox are 14-5 as road favorites since September 2, 2016. 32.6% ROI and $772 profit
Over is 15-6 when White Sox are road dogs since August 6. 35.8% ROI and $847 profit
Since the end of 2016, the White Sox have been amazing bets when playing as road favorites. Given the state of the team recently, this has not happened much – just 19 times since September 2016. The White Sox should become favorites more often as they continue to turn their franchise around with young talent.
The Sox bats really seem to wake up when they are road dogs. Since August of last season, the over has been absolutely cleaning up in games where the White Sox visit a superior team.
Twins are 0-9 as home dogs since July 23. Betting against Minnesota here yields a 75.5% ROI and $900 profit
Twins are 94-45 as road favorites since August 21, 2009. 17.0% ROI and $3312 profit
The Twins could not defend Target Field against good competition to save their lives last season. Minneapolis is not an appealing tourist destination – so this trend has more to do with the Twins’ weaknesses, especially in their pitching staff.
Over the past decade, few teams have performed on the road like the Minnesota Twins. Minnesota has been an amazing bet when traveling to face weaker competition. They get the job done.
Indians are 1-9 as underdogs since August 16. Betting against Cleveland yields 43.7% ROI and $735 profit
Over is 7-1 in Indians games since September 21. 64.3% ROI and $590
I’m still a bit salty at the Indians for losing my AL Central futures bet last season. Cleveland could not beat anyone down the stretch – especially good teams – as evidenced by their awful record as a dog in August and September.
Overs were hitting like crazy during the last couple weeks of the season. Here’s a little insight – it wasn’t the Cleveland hitters scoring all the runs.
Astros are 17-6 on the road since Aug 18. 12.8% ROI and $705 profit
Astros are 2-9 as home dogs since August 3, 2016. Betting against them yields a 47.2% ROI and $637 profit
The Astros killed it on the road down the stretch in 2019 – a major reason they were able to hold on to the top seed in the AL and finish with the best record in baseball over the last 60 games.
Houston has struggled as home underdogs since 2016. The Astros have been very good recently, however, so this situation does not arise very often.
A’s are 99-75 on the road since September 13, 2017. 16.1% ROI and $3323 profit
Under is 10-2 when A’s are favorite since September 17. 59.9% ROI and $787 profit
The Oakland A’s have one of the worst stadiums in baseball, which may account for why they play so well on the road – they just want to get out of there.
It was not just last year, the A’s have been an awesome road team since the end of 2017.
It makes sense that the under hits a lot when Oakland is favored – they are built on pitching. Keeping the score low is their bread and butter.
Mariners are 13-6 as favorites since June 19. 19.6% ROI and $511 profit
Opponents are 192-122 against Seattle when Mariners are home dogs since April 18, 2010. 7.1% ROI and $3080 profit from betting against Seattle
Seattle is a sneaky good baseball team. They’re tough to play against. A team’s longest road trip is often to Seattle, so it would make sense that the Mariners absolutely clean up when favored. A bad team traveling cross-country to face a talented roster? Forget about it.
Good teams seem to be unfazed by the travel, however. The Mariners have been getting killed all decade as home underdogs – indicating that they are good enough to hang with the mid-level teams but have no shot against the big dogs, even at home.
Los Angeles Angels
Angels are 3-13 as home dogs since July 17. Betting against Angels grants a 22.5% ROI and $725 profit
Angels are 5-18 as road dogs since August 2. Betting against Angels pays out a 15.3% ROI and $808 in profit
It seems that the sportsbooks have the Angels figured out. When Vegas says the Angels are an underdog, we should take them at their word.
The Angels were absolutely awful down the stretch as underdogs – both home and away. Those betting against the Angels consistently in August and September made a whole lot of cash.
Rangers are 36-20 as home favorites since May 9, 2018. That’s a 12.3% ROI and a $956 profit.
The over is 7-1 in Rangers games since September 21. 68.1% ROI and $590 profit
Playing summer baseball in Arlington is tough. Many claim Rangers games to be the hottest and most humid in the entire MLB – it takes some getting used to.
This gives the Rangers a very nice home-field advantage and they leverage it, playing exceptionally well as home favorites. Weak-minded teams come out lethargic in the heat and roll over if the Rangers jump out to an early lead.
Jumping out to an early lead is something the Rangers did often down the stretch in 2019, as they hit their way over the total in 7 of their last 8 games.
New York Mets
Mets are 14-4 as favorites since September 9. That’s a 19.7% ROI and a profit of $645
Mets are 21-11 on the road since July 13. That’s a 21.4% ROI and a $928 profit
The Mets are gaining popularity from both fans and bettors heading into the 2020 season. The reason for this optimism? The Mets closed out 2019 on a roll and held their own in one of the toughest divisions in baseball.
The Mets took care of business during September, winning the games they were supposed to win. They did not mind traveling either, playing especially well on the road after the All-Star break.
Taking care of business against weak teams and scrapping your way to road wins will be crucial in the shortened 2020 season.
Phillies are 1-8 as dogs since September 19. 39.2% ROI and $650 profit for those betting against Philly
Phillies are 11-15 as a favorite since July 31. 30.9% ROI and $807 profit from betting against them
Put these two Phillies trends together you can ascertain that they were not very good down the stretch in 2019
Here’s an idea. The Phillies should go after a big free agent and woo him with $330 million to stimulate the club …
Marlins are 3-11 at home since August 26. Betting against Miami in this spot yields a 27.1% ROI and $642 in profit
Marlins are 13-5 as a favorite since September 18, 2017. 30.3% ROI and $697 profit
The Marlins have been pretty bad over the past several years – we all know that. The Fish even struggle at home in their fancy new ballpark, losing 11 of their last 14 home games to close out the 2019 season.
The Marlins have only been declared Vegas favorites 18 times since the end of 2017, but they have won 13 of those 18 games. I’m looking at the Marlins 2020 schedule and only the Orioles have a shot at being underdogs to Miami.
Braves are 6-8 as favorites since September 10. 36.6% ROI and $512 profit from betting against Atlanta in this spot
Braves are 15-12 as road dogs since May 10. Huge 40.4% ROI and $727 in profit
Atlanta stumbled down the stretch in 2019, struggling to beat good teams. The Braves are the quintessential perennially good but not great ballclub.
Atlanta ruffled some feathers in opposing stadiums, playing wildly profitable baseball as road dogs from May onward in 2019 – on their way to an NL East crown.
Nationals are 47-23 at home since May 15. 12.6% ROI and a cool $1512 in profit
Nationals are 59-49 as road dogs since September 24, 2016. 22.4% ROI and a $2428 profit
Looking for the peripheral numbers of a good team? The Nationals have them. They killed it at home from the middle of May onward while simultaneously playing spoiler in their road games.
It was not just 2019. The Nationals have been wildly profitable as road dogs since September of 2016. Teams that can consistently win road games will always be in the World Series conversation. The Nationals proved that last season.
Cubs are 0-6 at home since September 17. Massive 127.6% ROI and $772 profit from betting against the Cubbies
Cubs are 0-8 as a favorite since September 17. Even bigger 138.7% ROI and $1112 profit from betting against them in this spot
The Cubs were right in the thick of the NL Central division race and then absolutely imploded during the final two weeks of the season.
The numbers speak for themselves. This is why Joe Maddon is now wearing a red uniform.
St. Louis Cardinals
Cardinals are 7-2 as road dogs since August 16. 75.3% ROI and $678 in profit
Cardinals are 6-10 as favorites since September 10. 50.9% ROI and $816 profit from betting against St. Louis
The Cardinals were a frustrating team for MLB bettors last season. Down the stretch they were better as dogs than as favorites.
I am not very high on the Cardinals this year, but if they keep cranking out wins as underdogs they will be right there when it comes time to draw up the playoff brackets.
Pirates are 0-6 in road games since September 13. Betting against Pittsburgh yields 42.4% ROI and an even $600 in profit
Pirates are 8-17 as home favorites since April 21. Betting against Pittsburgh will return 46.2% and profit $1159
Here are the numbers of a team in shambles – they can’t win on the road or at home, even as favorites.
Poor Pirates – a weak schedule and a division lacking a powerhouse team will not save them. They will still finish last.
Reds are 4-11 as home dogs since July 6. Betting against Cincy yields a 32.9% ROI and $632 in profit
Under is 2-7 when Reds are road favorites since August 28. 41.5% ROI and $495 in profit
Don’t think you’re getting a bargain by betting the Reds at home against a good team – they were awful in this spot after the All-Star break last season.
The Reds bats seem to also fall asleep when on the road against good competition. The under hit in 7 of the Reds last 9 2019 games when Cincinnati was road favorites.
Brewers are 8-4 as road dogs since august 17. That’s a 48.8% ROI and $586 in profit
Brewers are 15-7 as home favorites since July 24. 17.5% ROI and $602 in profit
Milwaukee’s peripherals are extremely strong. The Brewers excelled as road dogs late in the season – which is an exceptional feat.
The Brewers also took care of business at home, posting great numbers as home favorites in both August and September.
San Diego Padres
Padres are 2-13 as road dogs since August 20. Betting against SD yields 48.9% ROI and $1045 in profit
Padres are 26-60 as home dogs since September 22, 2017. That’s a 21.1% return on investment and a $2590 profit
When Vegas says the Padres are likely to lose a game – they really mean it. The Padres were horrible down the stretch as road underdogs and have been terrible as home underdogs since the end of the 2017 season.
The Padres are a team on the rise with plenty of young talent. There will be a period where sportsbooks continue to peg the Padres as dogs even though their talent does not deserve it. This is where savvy sports bettors will clean up. The reactionary fish in the betting public will not gain confidence in the Padres until after the Vegas lines have already been adjusted.
Rockies are 10-34 on the road since June 21. Betting against Colorado in this spot yields 17.1% ROI and $1549 in profit
Rockies are 9-3 at home since September 10. 70.4% ROI and $857 in profit
The discrepancy between home and road play has plagued Colorado for as long as the Rockies have existed. When in doubt – bet them at home, fade them on the road.
DBacks are 11-3 as home favorites since August 19. That’s a 28.1% ROI and $616 in profit
Under is 10-4 when Diamondbacks are road dogs since August 9. Betting under yields 34.6% ROI and $565 in profit
The Diamondbacks have been automatic at home against weaker teams – proving the desert can provide a nice home-field edge.
On the road, Arizona pitches well. Their opponents do, too. The under hit in 10 of the last 14 games last year in which the DBacks were road dogs.
San Francisco Giants
Giants are 39-30 on the road since April 21. ROI of 32.4% and profit of $2280
The under is 7-3 when Giants are road favorites since July 2, 2018. ROI of 32.1% and profit of $385 from betting the under in this spot
For a bad team, the Giants are exceptional on the road. Couple their great road record with the long odds they receive and you have a money-printing machine on the Bay.
How do the Giants win so many road games? Pitching. The under has hit in 70% of games in which the Giants have been road favorites over the past year and half.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodgers are 9-2 as favorites since September 22. 25.8% ROI and $580 profit
Dodgers are 2-11 as dogs since June 19. Betting against the Dodgers in this spot yields 49.1% return and $822 in profit
As expected, the Dodgers frequently win as favorites. You have to clean up against weak teams if you want to reach back-to-back World Series and win 7-straight divisions.
The Dodgers’ weakness? Teams better than them. Duh!