The absolute derby of this Bundesliga weekend takes place in Leverkusen, where Bayer hosts the champions, Bayern Munich. The home side is in excellent shape, while Bayern comes following a surprising defeat that ruined their nine-game winning streak. But even if the situation were different, this would be a high-intensity encounter between two rivals who have quite a history behind them. Bayern Munich was pretty confident against this particular rival in recent times, which frustrates the hosts, who are determined to snap that tradition.
Bayer Leverkusen (+400) has five wins in a row in all the competitions. To be exact, the Factory Team lost only once since the season began, and that was in a roller-coaster match vs. Dortmund at home a month ago, 3-4.
But since that moment, Leverkusen shifted into a higher gear and started beating – Ferencvaros, Stuttgart, Mainz, Celtic, and Armenia, with the note that the latter two are on the road, as well as the one against Stuttgart.
Bayer has three clean sheets in a row with a combined goal difference of 9-0. In all but two games this year they’ve scored at least twice, and in all but three, three goals or more. Now, that is what we say an efficient unit.
Bayern Munich (-160) didn’t win at the season opener in Monchengladbach, 1-1, and after that went to trash nine rivals in a row scoring 45 goals. Yet, Julian Nagelsmann’s side lost in the latest game, against Eintracht Frankfurt.
It was a kick in the teeth at Allianz Arena, 1-2, and something nobody expected to see. Though, we can say that Filip Kostic’s winner was forgotten soon due to the international break, but it is definitely still a motive for the champs to get three points here.
We won’t talk too much about the efficiency of Bayern’s games. All but one this year were with over 2.5 goals, and four of six road games were with both teams to score.
Julian Baumgartlinger is still out for the home team, the same as Fosu-Mensah and Edmond Tapsoba. Meanwhile, Robert Andrich will skip this one due to a red card suspension.
Benjamin Pavard won’t play in Leverkusen due to a direct red card. Also, Sven Ulreich, the backup goalkeeper, is out for Bayern as well.
Head to Head Games
Bayern won in the previous four direct matches, scoring twice in each. It is interesting that three wins came on the road, and that all those were with both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
The previous game in Leverkusen without at three goals and without BTTS was in 2017.
We are not going to go against the tradition. Goals are in focus each time Bayer and Bayern meet, and we will follow that this time. The odds on both sides to score and over 2.5 goals are at -200, and that is maybe the safest bet of the entire Sunday. For those who want to take some risk, go with Over 1.5 HT. Odds for this suggestion are -110, and knowing these two sides, the chances of seeing this are very high.
Pick: Over 2.5 and BTTS -200
Over 1.5 HT -100
Nikola Velickovic is a sports journalist who loves to write and read on all sports. Nikola contributes both news updates and functions as a sports breaking news writer at WagerBop.