Aston Villa and Liverpool meet on Tuesday night in Birmingham. Steven Gerrard faces the only true love in his football life and the team, which is his home in so many ways. Meanwhile, the Reds are frustrated following this weekend’s draw against Tottenham at home, and that might be the crucial failure in their title race. Manchester City is now three points ahead, and they have to lose in order for Liverpool to have a chance to reach the trophy. You have to admit, that is a bit unrealistic.
Aston Villa (+600) improved its form over the past couple of weeks and has three straight events without a loss. It started with a draw on the road in Leicester, 0-0, and after that, the Villains had two victories, at home against Norwich, 2-0, and in Burnley, 1-3.
Previously, Gerrard’s unit was beaten on four consecutive occasions. Luckily they were already safe in the middle of the standings, without any threats to their Premiership status.
Throughout the entire year, Villa’s home events have been pretty efficient and with both teams netting. That changed in the recent month, and the last five were all with just one side netting, and three were with under 2.5 scores.
Liverpool (-205) slipped in the worst possible moment, playing 1-1 at home against Tottenham. The Reds can blame only themselves for this outcome because they had enough chances to score first and put the guests on the back foot. Instead, Tottenham struck first, and after that, it was hard to make a complete comeback.
The Reds had six straight victories before this loss, and in all but one of them, they would score at least twice. What’s noticeable is that this unit plays much easier on the road than at home, and that in the last ten outings, Klopp’s crew posted nine triumphs and a draw.
We’ll see whether they have enough mental power to bounce back following a hard shock at Anfield on Saturday. If Liverpool fails to win here by any chance, that would be the end of all title hopes.
Bailey and Hause are definitely out of the home team, while Ramsey stands as questionable.
On the other side, Firmino is the only doubtful player in Liverpool’s squad.
Head to Head Games
Liverpool won the first meeting of the campaign at Anfield, 1-0. The only scorer in that event was Mo Salah, who spoiled Gerrard’s return home following a long time. It was an emotional match for all the present at Anfield.
The Reds beat Aston Villa in the last three games.
We won’t waste time here explaining why to bet on the guests. The situation is pretty clear; they can say bye to the title if they don’t win. It is that easy. So Klopp has to find a way to recover his players from the latest loss and motivate them for Tuesday’s event.
Our first pick would be Liverpool to win, at -195, while the second one is Liverpool to win and cover a 1.5-goal spread, with the odds on that +120. This is the best possible bet for all those who are willing to risk.
Pick: Liverpool wins -195
Nikola Velickovic is a sports journalist who loves to write and read on all sports. Nikola contributes both news updates and functions as a sports breaking news writer at WagerBop.