• Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer
  • NFL
    • Super Bowl Odds and Predictions
  • NBA
  • MLB
  • Soccer/Football
  • NCAAB
  • NHL
  • NCAAF
  • MMA
  • Other Sports
    • Auto racing
    • Esports
    • Golf
    • Horse Racing
    • Tennis
  • Sports Betting Systems
    • NFL Betting Systems
    • NBA Betting Systems
    • MLB Betting Systems
    • NCAAB Betting Systems
    • NCAAF Betting Systems
    • EPL Betting Systems
    • NHL Betting Systems
    • CFL Betting Systems
    • WNBA Betting Systems

WagerBop

Sports News, Strategy, Tips, and Results

  • The WagerBop News Team
  • Contact

Friday Night Game 6 Previews and Betting Picks: The Seattle Kraken Try For a Miracle First Round Upset

April 27, 2023 By Kurt Boyer Leave a Comment

All internet users are familiar with activists sniping at each other on blog scrolls. Today, our National Hockey League blog is going to take a few moments to “throw shade” at some of our own mainstream-media adversaries, those part-time hockey writers who insist that Stanley Cup tournaments are not based on skill but are virtual crap-shoots, exercises in “luck.”

The notion that a team winning Lord Stanley’s Grail is “just lucky” might sound amusing, or even exciting to the average ticket buyers, that is if they’re headed off to cheer for an 8th-seeded team in the NHL playoffs. For sportsbook users, the myth is potentially far more dangerous. There is no such thing as a “lucky” Stanley Cup victory, and betting against NHL odds with the idea in mind would lead to a devastated stake.

The school of thought of “NHL is all about luck” peaked right around 2020, following the Cinderella titles of the 2010s and Boston’s loss to St. Louis in the 2019 Stanley Cup Finals. The Boston Bruins are so popular in the northeast that Canadian hockey announcers treat Boston like a home team compared to its playoff rivals from the United States, and a triumph for St. Louis meant that millions of angry fans were looking for a scapegoat. One noisy pundit from Beantown suggested, not unlike the final referee’s decision from the movie “Slap Shot,” that the NHL should’ve canceled the final game, declared Saint Louis’ physical, chippy team illegitimate and void, and handed a league trophy over to the Boston Bruins by forfeit.

The other takes were no less absurd. The Sporting News, Vox, and other outlets argued that STL’s win (and the Tampa Bay Lightning’s upset defeat in Round 1) was evidence of superior players just not getting a fair enough shake in pond-shinny compared to the skill-based NBA. If phenomenal players like Nikita Kucherov of the Lightning and Brad Marchand of the Bruins could be eliminated by inferior skaters, they reasoned, then the NHL wasn’t rewarding its best players with championships, like the NBA with LeBron James.

However, since basketball is such a unique sport in which a “starting five” makes all the difference, that’s a silly premise. No set of 5 players ever earned a Super Bowl on their own merits in the NFL. Tom Brady and Derrick Henry’s teams fell badly short of championships in 2022-23, but each man was still considered the best at his position. Nobody said the NFL was “a game of luck” because Brady and Henry didn’t have the right supporting casts to succeed last season. Football is a team sport of 40+ players. Likewise, hockey is a team competition of about 20 skaters on both sides. Basketball is the anomaly in which a superstar and their pals can turn a franchise around for a short time, but the success of nomadic NBA superstars in a small-lineup sport doesn’t make hoops more or less conditional on luck than any other pursuit. If what the Vox articles suggested about team-sports outcomes were true, then golf and beach volleyball would be known as “superior” competitions, with the leading superstar of each brand only having one individual (a caddie, or a setter) who could potentially screw things up.

The early decade of the NHL has been rattled by COVID-19, but its Stanley Cup playoffs at least temporarily put an end to the “crap-shoot” theories. Kucherov and the Bolts went on a dynastic streak that included 2 Stanley Cup championships and a pair of full-season conference titles, followed by Nathan MacKinnon leading Colorado to the Cup last campaign. Colorado out-goaltended Edmonton and out-skated Tampa Bay en route to winning the Stanley Cup in 2022, and once again, luck had little to do with any of it.

However, could this year’s NHL conference quarterfinals threaten to bring back the old saw again? Tuesday and Wednesday night’s scores showed a legion of underdog teams doing more than just hanging on in their series against Stanley Cup betting favorites.

The Boston Bruins’ vaunted attack was dulled by the Florida Panthers in midweek, drawing a critical series tight at 3-2 in Spokes’ favor. New York Islanders netminder Ilya Sorokin, long the finest goaltender in the Kontinental Hockey League, put a kibosh on Carolina’s plan to clinch 4-1 in Game 5 with 34 saves on 36 opposing shots. The Edmonton-Los Angeles best-of-7 series has seesawed back-and-forth, though the Kings died a little bit by surrendering 5 goals in the opening 2 periods in the Oilers’ Game 5 win.

And finally, the 2nd-year Seattle Kraken are on the verge of knocking the NHL’s defending winners out of the Stanley Cup playoffs after an amazing road victory in Denver, led by German goaltender Phillip Grubauer and a fine checking effort that restricted the potent Colorado Avalanche to just 28 shots. The defending Avs will now travel back to Seattle to face what could be one of the loudest crowds in recent NHL playoff history, hoping to spark the Kraken to a Game 6 win and a stunning 4-2 series triumph. The Kraken are (+132) moneyline picks to win Friday night and clinch the upset.

Every National Hockey League playoff series except Toronto-Tampa Bay and Vegas-Winnipeg (in which both potential Game 7 hosts enjoy a 3-1 advantage) is now either deadlocked or standing a 3-2 in aggregate victories. But if you hear that hockey’s underdog teams are getting “lucky” in the conference Q-finals, don’t buy it. Or bet on it.

Goaltending, not good fortune, is helping this April’s underdog clubs threaten to crash the party and eliminate the odds-on favored Avalanche, Bruins, or both. Grubauer is faring better in the postseason than his counterpart Alexander Georgiev, as the 2022 champs struggle to find the right formula in goal after letting go of the hero Darcy Kuemper. WagerBop‘s vibe was that the betting odds on GK Sergei Bobrovsky and Florida were misguided following Game 4’s poor start, and the netminder was able to prove it by stopping an unreal 44 out of 47 Boston shots-on-goal in the win on Wednesday.

MacKinnon of Colorado and Edmonton’s Connor McDavid’s elite skill will be on full display in the week’s playoff games to come, and it won’t be lucky if either man scores a hat trick. But to find the best NHL moneyline odds this weekend, look at how goaltenders may be affected by a home-ice advantage that can lead to more power-play chances for the club that is able to communicate better during its shifts. Linus Ullmark of the Boston Bruins is experienced enough not to stress out when the desperate Panthers pile up the crease in Game 6 at FLA Live Arena. But a less-established NHL goaltender could react more adversely in a hostile setting, which is bad news for Colorado with Georgiev’s form unable to live-up.

WagerBop’s Picks on Game 6 of the NHL Conference Q-Finals

Friday: April 28: Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders (Game 6, Carolina Leads 3-2)

Unbelievably, the New York Islanders are favored over the sportsbook-darling Carolina Hurricanes, and not by a technicality’s margin. New York is the (-122) moneyline pick for Friday’s Game 6 in the Big Apple, and what might have looked like a potential Carolina sweep in the beginning now appears to be headed for Game 7 drama, Southern style.

The Rangers remain this year’s more talented and dangerous playoff team from New York City. There’s been no bigger proponent of Isles netminder Ilya Sorokin over the years than this prognosticator’s hockey blog, but his lack of experience in a do-or-die NHL playoff scenario could haunt the Islanders in their first go-around as a contending team in front of the Russian ace. The patient, steady ‘Canes are still getting plenty of shots through, and aren’t too concerned about a NY attack that’s had only a handful of skaters score multiple points outside of the unexpected blow-out in Game 3.

In Game 4, Carolina retaliated right away with a statement 5-2 win on the road.

WagerBop’s Pick: Carolina (+102)

Friday, April 28: Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers (Game 6, Boston Leads 3-2)

It is almost to the point where “desperate” levels of noise from a home-ice crowd on the verge of Stanley Cup elimination could lead to “communication breakdowns” for the away team, even if there are no Led Zeppelin songs playing in between the action. Home teams will use their extra PP chances to crowd the crease and try to physically nick-up or emotionally rattle the goaltender, meaning that any away-team betting pick must be carefully vetted, focusing on netminders who can stand up to the torture. We trust Linus Ullmark above other teams’ candidates to play an excellent Game 6 in a deafening rink and help the Bruins.

WagerBop’s Pick: Under (6.5)

Friday, April 28: Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild (Game 6, Dallas Leads 3-2)

The trailing team, once again, is favored to win a Game 6, with the Minnesota Wild drawing slight (-115) favorite’s odds to beat the visiting Dallas Stars. That is good news for our blog, which recommended midseason futures-picks on the Wild before watching in horror as the club was shut out by Jake Oettinger in Game 5. Friday may feel like a scenario in which the underrated Wild will pull through to force a Game 7 showdown with their old civic and proprietary rivals. But the safer betting pick is on the tight-checking game plan that Minnesota is likely to employ while seeking that very outcome.

WagerBop’s Pick: Under (5.5)

Friday, April 28: Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken (Game 6, Seattle Leads 3-2)

Before one of the loudest sports crowds in Seattle history, the NHL’s own “miracle on ice” could play out on Friday. Seattle may not be a “true” expansion club anymore with nearly 2 seasons under the team’s belt, but it would still be an all-time shocker for the Kraken to rise over a Colorado franchise that’s been spanking the whole NHL for several years.

Experts of international hockey can tell you that the game’s actual “Miracle on Ice,” the USA-over-USSR upset in the medal round at 1980’s Lake Placid Olympics, was not really a “miracle” but a decisive moment in which a dynasty started to crumble. The Soviet team represented the finest collection of talent available anywhere in the world, but it was also growing old and dull, performing in an overconfident style that plagued the Red Army skaters as soon as a comeback was needed. The college-aged, fast American team executed better and quicker than the Soviets did, led by future NHLers like Gary Suter.

The Seattle Kraken are gunning for another David-beats-Goliath takedown in 2023, and the bookmakers at FanDuel aren’t treating Colorado quite like Fetisov, Krutov, and Tretiak, even with the Avalanche’s lineup of forwards that remains the fastest and most deadly around. Colorado’s defending team is no “USSR” aging lineup scenario, in fact, the Colorado Avalanche employ far more youth than the Tampa Bay Lightning, against whom the Avs skaters won a Stanley Cup Final in 2022.

Seattle’s crowd this Friday could manufacture the loudest din ever heard from an expansion team’s ticket buyers. At a glance, a moneyline of just (-162) on the Avs may seem weak.

Take a look between the pipes again. Grubauer of the Kraken has been outperforming Georgiev of the Avalanche, exposing Colorado for having made unneeded changes at GK in the offseason. If Colorado’s otherwise dynamic blue line cannot communicate well enough in the noise to stop Seattle’s rushes, interference calls and power-play chances could break up any positive tempo and transition which Nathan MacKinnon’s top-6 forwards can find for the Avs, and give Grubauer a chance to cap Seattle’s astounding series-upset bid with a classic performance on home ice.

WagerBop’s Pick: Seattle (+134)

Kurt Boyer

Kurt has authored close to 1000 stories covering football, soccer, basketball, baseball, ice hockey, prize-fighting and the Olympic Games. Kurt posted a 61% win rate on 200+ college and NFL gridiron picks last season. He muses about High School football on social media as The Gridiron Geek.
Twitter: @scorethepuck
Email: kurt@wagerbop.com

Share
Tweet
Share
0 Shares

Filed Under: NHL Tagged With: NHL, Stanley Cup Playoffs

Reader Interactions

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Primary Sidebar

We Are Social

MLB Daily Double

Sign up

Sign Up

Sign up

Authors For This Section

Georgie L

Georgie has been in the industry for over 11 years, working as a trader and a broker for some of the largest syndicates in the world. Georgie has focused his model development on international soccer leagues.

Twitter: @WagerBop
Email: georgie@wagerbop.com

Jake Nichols

Jake is a mixed martial arts reporter from Australia. At WagerBop, he merges his appreciation of combat sports and a strong passion for analytics to uncover opportunities for readers.

Twitter: @JakeNicholsMMA
Email: jake@wagerbop.com

Jay Sanin

Jay is a sports writer who has been featured on Deadspin, BetAdvisor. In addition to penning wager previews and features, Jay has broadcasted for MAAC school as well as ESPN Radio's Northeastern Affiliates.

Instagram: @jaysanin
Email: jay@wagerbop.com

Nikola Velickovic

Nikola Velickovic is a sports journalist who loves to write and read on all sports. Nikola contributes both news updates and functions as a sports breaking news writer at WagerBop.
Twitter:
Email: nikola@wagerbop.com

Kreighton R

Kreighton loves sports, math, writing, and winning -- he combines all of them as a writer for WagerBop. His favorite sports to review are MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAAF, and NCAABB.

Twitter: @WagerBop
Email: kreighton@wagerbop.com

Kurt Boyer

Kurt has authored close to 1000 stories covering football, soccer, basketball, baseball, ice hockey, prize-fighting and the Olympic Games. Kurt posted a 61% win rate on 200+ college and NFL gridiron picks last season. He muses about High School football on social media as The Gridiron Geek.
Twitter: @scorethepuck
Email: kurt@wagerbop.com

Shehryar Raza

Shehryar is a professional eSports analyst with a particular affinity for CS:GO, LoL, and DOTA. He covers major eSports events across the world for WagerBop.

Twitter: @raza_shehryar
Email: shehryar@wagerbop.com

Oscar Cantu

Oscar is a rabid sports fan who started to develop his own models when he realized that lots of sports betting "experts" rely too much on their own opinions and publicly available information to provide picks. Oscar focuses on football, basketball, and soccer.

Twitter: @WagerBop
Email: social@wagerbop.com

derek

WagerBop Authors

Latest

UEFA Champions League Group Stage Draw Completed

August 31, 2023 By Nikola Velickovic Leave a Comment

MLS: LA FC vs. Inter Miami Preview, Odds, Predictions, Picks

August 31, 2023 By Nikola Velickovic Leave a Comment

Serie A: Napoli vs. Lazio Preview, Odds, Prediction, Picks

August 30, 2023 By Nikola Velickovic Leave a Comment

Bundesliga: Borussia Monchengladbach vs. Bayern Munich Preview, Odds, Prediction, Picks

August 30, 2023 By Nikola Velickovic Leave a Comment

Premeir League: Arsenal vs. Manchester United Preview, Odds, Prediction, Picks

August 29, 2023 By Nikola Velickovic Leave a Comment

Categories

  • Auto racing
  • Boxing
  • College Football
  • Esports
  • EuroLeague
  • FBS
  • FIFA
  • General Strategy
  • Golf
  • Horse Racing
  • Men's Ice Hockey
  • MLB
  • MMA
  • NBA
  • NCAAB
  • NCAAF
  • NFL
  • NHL
  • Olympics
  • Soccer/Football
  • Sports Betting
  • Sports News
  • Sportsbook Reviews
  • Tennis
  • US Soccer
  • Women's Ice Hockey

Twitter

Twitter feed is not available at the moment.

Footer

About WagerBop

WagerBop is a sports website committed to journalism. We are founded by sports fans — for sports fans — and aim to provide the latest happenings in athletics across the board. We are a team of real, dedicated, eccentric people who aim to deliver the high level of objectivity and quality found throughout our site.

CONTACT DETAILS

Address: 3505 Olsen Blvd
Amarillo, TX 79109
Phone: 806-355-7200
Email Id: admin@wagerbop.com

FREE BETTING STRATEGIES

Free NFL Betting Strategy
Free NCAAF Betting Strategy
Free MLB Betting Strategy
Free NHL Betting Strategy
Free NBA Betting Strategy
Free NCAAB Betting Strategy
Free CFL Betting Strategy
Free EPL Betting Strategy
Free WNBA Betting Strategy

Other Pages

  • Cookie Agreement
  • Editorial Policy
  • GDPR Privacy Policy
  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms and Conditions

Copyright © 2025 Wagerbop.com · Log in

We use cookies to ensure that we give you the best experience on our website Close