The ACC does not get a ton of love which is surprising considering they boast a few of the nation’s elite programs.
We can translate this lack of respect into cold hard cash by applying a bit of good old-fashioned data analysis. Sit back and let me educate you on how to bet the ACC and put yourself in a position to win this fall.
Road Underdogs Dominate the ACC
When road underdogs pull their weight and win a decent percentage of games, your bankroll can grow extremely rapidly.
Underdogs receive good lines to begin with because the public loves betting favorites. If we throw in the fact that the team is on the road, the value is almost off the charts.
Of course, these teams are underdogs for a reason. They can be subject to some pretty frustrating dry spells. One conference has proved to be immune to these dry spells – the ACC. This is a place where underdogs, and especially visiting ones, win savvy bettors lots and lots of money!
Take a look at what road underdogs have done ATS in ACC play since 2014.
| Year | Record ATS | ROI |
| 2018* | 4-0-1 | 90.9% |
| 2017 | 22-12-1 | 23.53% |
| 2016 | 26-17 | 15.43% |
| 2015 | 23-13-1 | 21.97% |
| 2014 | 25-19-1 | 8.47% |
* Through 12:00 ET 09/19/18
You cannot beat these numbers! The trend has only grown stronger over the past half-decade. We are off to a good start once again in 2018 with road dogs yet to lose ATS.
The Golden Eagles are … Golden
Since 2014, Boston College has been leading the road underdog charge in the ACC. The Eagles have played 13 such games in that stretch, compiling a 10-2-1 record ATS. Amazingly, BC is 6-7 SU when road underdogs despite an average spread of 12 points.
To get a taste of what road underdogs are capable of, here are several other ACC teams with their road dog ATS numbers since 2014.
| Team | Record ATS | Win % |
| Boston College | 10-2-1 | 83.3% |
| Georgia Tech | 8-3 | 72.7% |
| Pitt | 10-5-1 | 66.7% |
| Virginia | 13-8 | 61.9% |
| North Carolina | 8-5-1 | 61.5% |
| Duke | 9-6 | 60% |
| Syracuse | 10-7 | 58.8% |
| Wake Forest | 11-8 | 57.9% |
Pretty sweet, right? I am going to be bold and claim that no other conference boasts win rates this high.
I think the underlying force behind this trend is the foolishness of the betting public. The ACC is a top-heavy league. Underdogs win very few games SU. For example, Virginia is 13-8 ATS in road dog situations but is a miserable 2-19 SU.
Likewise, Syracuse is 2-15 SU while Wake is 3-16 SU in these games. The underdogs do not win very often. I am sure most people see this occurring and assume that because the favorite has an overwhelming chance to win they will also easily cover the spread.
This fallacy could not be further from the truth and pushes the line even more in our favor as underdog bettors.
Kreighton loves sports, math, writing, and winning — he combines all of them as a writer for WagerBop. His favorite sports to review are MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAAF, and NCAABB.
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