How to Profit Betting the Denver Broncos

The Broncos won Super Bowl 50, sending Peyton Manning into retirement a winner, and then promptly fell off the map.

Recently an afterthought when discussing contenders, the Broncos find themselves in the thick of a crowded AFC West race this season. Only the Jets stand between Denver and a 3-2 record.

Broncos 2018 Season Overview

To analyze the Broncos moving forward, let’s take a moment to see how they got here.

There was much optimism in Denver heading into 2018 because they claimed to have signed their guy – Case Keenum. Keenum was supposed to finally get the team over the hump and lead them to the promised land.

Week	Score	Line
1	DEN 27 SEA 24	DEN -3
2	DEN 20 OAK 19	DEN -5.5
3	BAL 27 DEN 14	DEN +6
4	KC 27 DEN 23	DEN +4
5	DEN @ NYJ	DEN +1

After the first two weeks, it appeared that the process of deliverance had begun. Denver beat a quality Seahawks team before escaping with a win against a struggling Raiders squad.

Surprisingly, the 2-0 Broncos then entered Week 3 as 6-point underdogs to the Ravens. Many bettors jumped on the chance to receive 6 points on a 2-0 team but were shocked when Denver lost by two touchdowns.

The Broncos then fought tooth and nail on Monday night against a 3-0 Chiefs team but fell painstakingly short. At 2-2, the Broncos’ team stats could not be any more mediocre.

	Yards/Game	Points/Game	Yards Allowed/Game	Points Allowed/Game
NFL Rank	13th	25th	17th	17th

There is nothing remarkable about this team. They have beaten the teams they should beat and lost to the teams better than them. One thing Denver has failed to do through 4 weeks – win against the spread.

Broncos 2018 Individual Stats

Name	Pos	Passing Yards	QBR	Passing TDs / INT
Case Keenum	QB	988	72.1	3 / 6
Name	Pos	Receiving Yards	Receptions	Receiving TDs
Emmanuel Sanders	WR	314	24	1
Name	Pos	Rushing Yards	YPC	Rushing TDs
Phillip Lindsay	RB	267	5.9	1
Royce Freeman	RB	219	5.0	3

As you can see, Case Keenum has not been the savior that John Elway banked on this offseason. His QBR places him near the bottom of the league and his 2-1 interception to touchdown ratio is absolutely awful.

The timeless veteran wideout Emmanuel Sanders has done the best he can with limited receptions while the Broncos’ two-headed rookie rushing attack has been the team’s glimmer of hope on offense.

The Vegas odds have been very accurate for Broncos’ games this year, pushing twice. It appears Vegas has this team figured out. I do not feel confident playing the 1-point spread in the Jets’ game given how likely it is the contest will come right down to the wire.

Instead, I have another idea …

Broncos-Jets Verdict

I am on a week-by-week betting basis with the Broncos right now. I have to reevaluate them after each game until I feel comfortable betting on them.

Notice that the title of this article is not “Predict the Broncos-Jets Winner” but rather “How to Profit”. Since Vegas has shown they are good at predicting Broncos’ outcomes, I will bank that the score finishes right around that 1-point spread.

This is the perfect opportunity to play a teaser!

If you read my Browns’ article this week, you know I am taking Cleveland +3 over the Ravens. I believe that playing a 6-point teaser on the Jets and the Browns has a very high chance of cashing out.

The Broncos do not possess a high-powered offense. I do not see them blowing out anyone, let alone a spunky, never-say-die Jets team. Getting New York +5 seems pretty safe to me.

On the flip side, even the Browns cannot mess up a +9 cushion, right? Some do not like playing teasers, but in this case, I see it as a high value play!