We wind up comparing a lot of sports-variants (and minor-league outcomes of the same genre) to major sports without thinking of whether the mold fits together on the betting board. Often, 2 leagues that look and sound much alike, for instance MLB and Nippon Professional Baseball, present very disparate … Read More... about NHL Playoff Odds and Series Prices: Florida vs Tampa Bay Game 1 Line and Best Wednesday Picks
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NFL Conference Championship Playoffs: Preview, Betting Lines, Picks, and Bonus Prop Bet Predictions
There are many competing stories on the Rams, 49ers, Chiefs, and Bengals, the 4 survivors who will play for NFL conference titles this Sunday. But what counts as the most captivating "autopsy" on a fallen team whose season came to an end in last weekend's Divisional Round? Candidates are all over the place. Tom Brady's defending champs finally succumbed to the hot-headed … [Read more...] about NFL Conference Championship Playoffs: Preview, Betting Lines, Picks, and Bonus Prop Bet Predictions
NFL Divisional Round Odds, Spreads, and Predictions: Green Bay Poised To Cover a TD at Lambeau?
Pro and international sports leagues are designed to bring about good games and surprise scores. People in FIFA-crazed cities who haven't paid attention to a World Cup can socially wriggle out of it by saying, "Oh, man, lots of surprises this time." You can't go wrong by pointing to token upsets, or even better, headlines on rashes of upset triumphs in somebody's favorite … [Read more...] about NFL Divisional Round Odds, Spreads, and Predictions: Green Bay Poised To Cover a TD at Lambeau?
NFC and AFC Wild Card Round Preview, Odds, and Picks: Chiefs vs Steelers O/U and Best Playoff Futures Bets
The nice thing about Super Bowl futures is because the markets run faithfully year-round, and because action is always high, there's only so much bookmakers can do to handicap the odds. Inmates, or at least NFL gamblers, run the asylum when it comes to sending teams up and down the Super Bowl futures ledger. But at least in early 2022, those "crazies" are onto something … [Read more...] about NFC and AFC Wild Card Round Preview, Odds, and Picks: Chiefs vs Steelers O/U and Best Playoff Futures Bets
NFL Odds, Spreads, and Picks: Tight Raiders vs Chargers Line for 2021-22 Season Capper
Given the fore-knowledge that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers would come back to defeat New York in Week 17, a percentage of Buccaneer fans might have said "good riddance" as they watched Antonio Brown walk off the gridiron and quit. Now that we know the story is more complicated than it initially appeared, the viral image of Brown's shirtless strut into the dressing room is a … [Read more...] about NFL Odds, Spreads, and Picks: Tight Raiders vs Chargers Line for 2021-22 Season Capper
Week 16 Odds and Best Bets: Chiefs vs Steelers O/U Line and MNF Upset Pick
We should have seen it coming, but the AFC is catching up to the NFC in late 2021. Big duh, eh? Who could have thought a pro pigskin league would be just about as strong in one batch of 16 teams as in the other? But all sarcasm aside, more empirical evidence than a single September-October stretch of games has been behind NFL pundits touting the NFC. In a league in which … [Read more...] about Week 16 Odds and Best Bets: Chiefs vs Steelers O/U Line and MNF Upset Pick
NFL Odds and Best Bets: Cardinals at Lions O/U Total Pick and Rams vs Seahawks ATS
It's strange to see NFL bookmakers doing well at setting a certain category of betting lines, while making mistakes in another "category" of lines in the same actual market. For instance, point spreads on Week 15's most well-matched NFL games appear to be handicapped with accuracy by Las Vegas. Tennessee-Pittsburgh is an extremely hard-to-predict match of physical football … [Read more...] about NFL Odds and Best Bets: Cardinals at Lions O/U Total Pick and Rams vs Seahawks ATS
Week 14 Odds, Lines, and Forecast: Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens Pick ATS
"Omega Point” has multiple definitions, but for some reason, I prefer to willfully misunderstand the term as a purely psychological turning point, or a "point of seeing" in Robert Fripp's pet lingo. To understand how an Omega Point (or a point-of-seeing) applies to sports betting in 2021, consider that the sports media is starting to lie its ass off as much as any other … [Read more...] about Week 14 Odds, Lines, and Forecast: Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens Pick ATS
NFL Week 13 Odds: Bears vs Cardinals Spread Prediction and MNF Over/Under Pick
There is a chance that old friends and familiar faces are poised to take over the National Football League in December. Pat Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs are alive and well thanks to a revamped defense that quieted the Dallas Cowboys in a 4th straight victory going into last week's bye. Bill Belichick is on a winning streak that may prove once and for all that The Hoodie's … [Read more...] about NFL Week 13 Odds: Bears vs Cardinals Spread Prediction and MNF Over/Under Pick