The matchup between Roma and Milan can decide who finishes in the top four of Serie A and earns a spot in the UEFA Champions League. These two clubs are the biggest contenders for advancing to the most prominent European competition, albeit Inter, Atalanta, and Juventus are also in the mix. The fact that Roma is in the semifinals of the Europa League and Milan is in the semifinals of the Champions League only adds to the excitement before the kick-off.
After falling behind 1-0 in the first leg, Roma (+165) rallied to defeat Feyenoord 4-1 at Olimpico. The Italians needed extra time to go past the Dutch giants and will face Bayer Leverkusen in the semifinals. However, after that, they suffered a heavy defeat at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo to Atalanta, 3-1, which complicated their position in Serie A.
Roma’s record in the previous ten games at home had been pretty solid, with Il Lupi racking eight wins and only two defeats. Most of those games saw Mourinho’s squad score twice, keeping a clean sheet, or both.
Each of Roma’s last four home games has concluded with more than 2.5 goals, and Il Lupi’s offense has been red hot, scoring three goals in each of those contests.
Milan (+175) went unbeaten for six games, winning three and drawing three. We’ve seen them advance to the Champions League semifinals after 180 minutes of ferocious battle against Napoli, whom they defeated 2-1 on aggregate – 1-0 in Milan and 1-1 in Naples.
During the most crucial part of the season, Rossoneri drastically improved; some might even say evolved, delivering huge victories. This young team has a promising future, and they only need to stay together and play for the next couple of seasons. That’s up to the management to provide.
Milan’s recent games weren’t that efficient, with each of the last five staying under 2.5 goals. Their backline finally became consistent after an awful period following the World Cup and several terrible performances.
Roma can’t count on Paulo Dybala, Diego Llorente, Chris Smalling and Georginio Wijnaldum. Mourinho lamented over their injuries against Atalanta, stating that they came at the worst possible moment of the year.
Tommaso Pobega and Olivier Giroud are injured and won’t be playing on Sunday.
Head to Head Games
Milan and Roma met at San Siro on January 8, with the result of that clash being a draw, 2-2.
Roma is without a victory over Milan since 2019, which is six games in a row, while the past five direct meetings ended with both teams netting and three or more goals.
Both squads play cautious football, built on strategy and counterattacks. Mourinho and Pioli will most likely take it slow to begin the game, evaluating their possibilities before launching any onslaught. With all the problems both teams have, their tight schedule, and the stake at the table in this particular case, we don’t expect an interesting and efficient event, but quite the opposite, a slow and dull meeting with two goals at most, which is our pick here.
Pick: Under 2.5 goals -200
Nikola Velickovic is a sports journalist who loves to write and read on all sports. Nikola contributes both news updates and functions as a sports breaking news writer at WagerBop.