Lazio and Club Brugge will decide who advances to the UEFA Champions League‘s knockout stage in a direct clash this Tuesday. The hosts can afford to play a draw and secure at least the second spot in Group F. On the other hand, the Belgian champs need all three points, because they have seven right now, while Lazio collected two more. The first game between these two sides ended with a draw, 1-1, meaning that this should be an interesting matchup.
Lazio (-120) defeated Spezia on the road in the Serie A clash this Saturday, keeping the good atmosphere before this event. After snatching a very valuable point against Dortmund in Germany, and showing that they know how to perform even when trailing, the morale among the Eagles is pretty high.
Right now, the Sky-Blues have four consecutive matches with them both scoring and conceding a goal, and three of those saw over 2.5 goals. However, once examining only the events at Olimpico, the frequency of such cases is higher.
The latest seven events were with both sides scoring, and five events during that stretch saw over 2.5 goals. Just to mention that Simone Inzaghi’s side hosted against Inter, Dortmund, Juve, Zenit, Atalanta, all of them being the top European teams.
Club Brugge (+320) got a narrow win over St. Truden in the last Jupiler League match, 1-0, and after beating Zenit 3-0 during midweek, and not allowing a goal against Mouscron, 0-0, this was their third in a row with a clean sheet, fourth in the previous five meetings. Overall, six of the latest seven games Club Brugge played saw just one side netting.
Unlike previous years, the Belgian powerhouse doesn’t play high-efficient matches anymore. They don’t have a lethal transition as before, which undoubtedly reflected the efficiency of their games.
What concerns their fans is the fact that Club Brugge couldn’t score on their prior two road trips because they simply can’t afford such a minus in Rome.
Sead Lulic, Vedad Muriqi, and Silvio proto are definitely put off the picture for Tuesday’s game.
For Brugge, Diatta, Mitrovic, Van der Brempt, and Vormer are all injured, with the absence of the latter being a huge handicap for the guests.
Head to Head Matches
Correa scored for Lazio in the first meeting, handing the Eagles a lead after 14 minutes. Meanwhile, Hans Vanaken level the score in the 42nd, which was the final result. This is the only game these two sides have played so far.
Lazio’s win is at -120 and even though they are just fine with one point from this event, the Eagles won’t gamble here with such high stakes on the table. Club Brugge isn’t convincing on the road, which is why we didn’t think too much before delivering our pick. All these reasons are enough for us.
We will also recommend betting on over 1.5 goals in the second half, with the odds there at -105 at the moment. Once this game opens up, and that will happen at some point in the second period, goals will inevitably come.
Here is our preview for the derby of the day between RB Leipzig and Manchester United.
Nikola Velickovic is a sports journalist who loves to write and read on all sports. Nikola contributes both news updates and functions as a sports breaking news writer at WagerBop.