Just last week I announced my belief that Iowa would sneak into the field of 68. Now I’m changing my mind … what happened? For starters, the Hawkeyes did not do themselves any favors. Last Sunday, Iowa dropped a close one to Nebraska. Yes, that Nebraska. The one who I originally had pegged as a 6-seed and then began the nosedive of all nosedives. The Nebraska who was … [Read more...] about Fate (Nearly) Sealed: Why Iowa Will Be on the Outside Looking In
ESPN released a video a few days ago about how a total beginner can pick a competitive bracket by taking advantage of the underlying math behind March Madness. It is an interesting idea for a video. One snippet in particular intrigued me. Toward the end, it is said that “16 of the last 17 national champions ranked in the top-20 of adjusted offensive efficiency, and 16 of … [Read more...] about Good Teams Who Are Bad At Scoring
It’s crunch time, baby! As long as the selection process contains a human element, “what have you done for me lately” will be a key factor in who makes the cut. Fans would much rather watch a hot team attempt to continue their miracle run than a fading team who backs into a playoff spot. The committee knows this and makes their picks accordingly. I have looked over the … [Read more...] about Analyzing the Nation’s Hottest and Coldest Teams
NET rankings, strength of schedule, conference record, key wins. Sometimes you just need to pass the eye test when the committee is paying the closest attention - the home stretch. The Aggies of Utah St have not been on my NCAA tournament radar until the past two weeks. Do you blame me? They had not beaten a single team that they could brag about … that is, until … [Read more...] about Utah St is Getting Hot at the Right Time. Will it Matter?
Dropping 2 games in a 3-game stretch in February is definitely a bad omen, right? It signals to the world that you are hitting the bottom when good teams are peaking, right? It spells disaster come March, right? Wrong! February is make-or-break time for most college basketball teams. For most, a bad home stretch will leave you on your couch watching the NCAA tournament on … [Read more...] about Did Coach K See the Same Thing I Saw?