You can’t watch an NFL game without hearing the word momentum from the broadcast team assigned to the game. And with momentum being regarded as such an integral part of the sport, one would think that it could also be used to make the best possible bets on the NFL every year. But just how important is momentum to NFL betting, and what exactly is momentum in the first place?
A part of the “because football” phenomenon is this vague concept of momentum, which is defined by most as a team doing something well, and that propelling them to continue to do things well on the field. But isn’t that just a string of a team executing properly, which doesn’t need to be ascribed some sort of greater definition?
It has been argued before whether or not momentum is a myth in football, and the best argument for that being the case could be that the teams are just executing. There is also the argument that on a long-term basis a team is just playing better than their opponent or has a matchup advantage that they are using to find success in games rather than there being a vague explanation for their success like momentum.
And yet, you will still see those covering the NFL talking about momentum constantly when profiling different teams. This could be their way of explaining team success in a way that is less complex than breaking down game film, but there could still be something to the theory that momentum has something to offer in the way of boosting a team’s chances.
There is something to be said about momentum being something that can galvanize a home crowd. When a home team strings together several successful plays on their side of the ball, the crowd can begin to get itself more and more excited until crowd noise becomes a real factor in the game. This can cause false starts for the visiting team or otherwise disrupt their ability to remain in a rhythm. If this happens multiple times per game, it could have a big impact on the outcome.
When it comes to betting on the NFL, this form of momentum can be extremely valuable when live betting. Noticing when a home team is executing at a high level and when their crowd is having an impact on the game is a valuable skill, as seeing this can help you find lines that are valuable when backing home teams that will be buoyed by their home crowd.
Of course, the theory of momentum itself still doesn’t describe why the crowd noise in the stadium becomes a factor, as that is all based on execution. But momentum seems to be used as the catch-all term to describe when a team is finally starting to get things right with their play calling and their ability to put those plays to good use. Whatever you want to call it, there is nothing more important than making plays when they are needed in the NFL.