Thursday Night Football is the most interesting part of every week. Not only because it’s the only thing on in the sports world of note on most Thursdays, but because of how much different it can be than the rest of the NFL schedule. But with these pieces of Thursday Night Football betting advice, you will be better equipped to overcome some of those differences to give yourself the best chance to win.
The first big difference between Thursday Night Football and the rest of the NFL schedule is the fact that the Thursday game is often the only really interesting sporting event going on during that day of the week. You might get a decent college football or NBA game once in a while, but more often than not Thursday Night Football is the highlight of the day. But bettors should have more of a justification than that to bet on the game.
While it’s fun to bet on Thursday Night Football, you have to remember your overall goal as a sports bettor is to win in most cases. With a goal of exceeding 52.38% in your NFL bets to make a profit, there will be times where Thursday games don’t have enough value in them to justify pulling the trigger. Rather than risking your chances at profitability for some fun, some of the best advice you can get for Thursday Night Football is to not feel bad about sitting it out. Chances are the glut of Sunday games will have better value on many weeks.
On the occasions where there is some value out there to bet on a Thursday NFL game, knowing where to find it is the next most important thing you can do. Thursday games come a few days before Sunday games, which means that teams who played on Sunday and have a Thursday game only get a few days to rest. This makes things tougher on two groups specifically: road teams and defenses.
Road teams have virtually no time to rest and recover after the previous week’s game before they have to hop on a plane and go to their destination for their Thursday game. That can often lead to a team coming out flat or getting fatigued late in Thursday contests, with home teams winning the bulk of these games.
The same can be said about defenses, who have a much more difficult job than offenses in today’s NFL. As such, they could use the rest much more than offensive players. If you see an imbalanced team with a bad defense playing on Thursday, you could have a huge advantage if you have a matchup where the other team could take advantage of those defensive woes against a tired team.
Thursday night games tend to have some variance that other games lack, with the lack of time to recover from injuries and the reduced preparation time creating hurdles that don’t exist in most games. But as long as you pick your spots and find mismatches where available, you have a shot at enjoying a profitable Thursday night schedule.
Jay is a sports writer who has been featured on Deadspin, BetAdvisor. In addition to penning wager previews and features, Jay has broadcasted for MAAC school as well as ESPN Radio’s Northeastern Affiliates.
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